It takes the average reader and 58 minutes to read Default Premium by Mr. Luis Catão
Assuming a reading speed of 250 words per minute. Learn more
We re-assess the view that sovereigns with a history of default are charged only a small and/or short-lived premium on the interest rate warranted by observed fundamentals. Our reassessment uses a metric of such a “default premium” (DP) that is consistent with asymmetric information models and nests previous metrics, and applies it to a much broader dataset relative to earlier studies. We find a sizeable and persistent DP: in 1870-1938, it averaged 250 bps upon market re-entry, tapering to around 150 bps five years out; in 1970- 2011 the respective estimates are about 400 and 200 bps. We also find that: (i) these estimates are robust to many controls including on actual haircuts; (ii) the DP accounts for as much as 60% of the sovereign spread within five years of market re-entry; (iii) the DP rises with market exclusion spells. These findings help reconnect theory and evidence on why sovereign defaults are infrequent and earlier debt settlements are desirable.
Default Premium by Mr. Luis Catão is 57 pages long, and a total of 14,649 words.
This makes it 19% the length of the average book. It also has 18% more words than the average book.
The average oral reading speed is 183 words per minute. This means it takes 1 hour and 20 minutes to read Default Premium aloud.
Default Premium is suitable for students ages 8 and up.
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