It takes the average reader and 20 minutes to read Analysis of the U.S. Business Cycle with a Vector-Markov-Switching Model by Mr.Zenon Kontolemis
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This paper identifies turning points for the U.S. business cycle using different time series. The model, a multivariate Markov-Swiching model, assumes that each series is characterized by a mixture of two normal distributions (a high and low mean) with switching determined by a common Markov process. The procedure is applied to the series that make up the composite U.S. coincident indicator to obtain business cycle turning points. The business cycle chronology is closer to the NBER reference cycle than the turning points obtained from the individual series using a univariate model. The model is also used to forecast the series, with encouraging results.
Analysis of the U.S. Business Cycle with a Vector-Markov-Switching Model by Mr.Zenon Kontolemis is 20 pages long, and a total of 5,000 words.
This makes it 7% the length of the average book. It also has 6% more words than the average book.
The average oral reading speed is 183 words per minute. This means it takes and 27 minutes to read Analysis of the U.S. Business Cycle with a Vector-Markov-Switching Model aloud.
Analysis of the U.S. Business Cycle with a Vector-Markov-Switching Model is suitable for students ages 8 and up.
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