It takes the average reader 1 hour and 20 minutes to read Geoeconomic Fragmentation and Commodity Markets by Mr. Jorge A Alvarez
Assuming a reading speed of 250 words per minute. Learn more
This paper studies the economic impact of fragmentation of commodity trade. We assemble a novel dataset of production and bilateral trade flows of the 48 most important energy, mineral and agricultural commodities. We develop a partial equilibrium framework to assess which commodity markets are most vulnerable in the event of trade disruptions and the economic risks that they pose. We find that commodity trade fragmentation – which has accelerated since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – could cause large price changes and price volatility for many commodities. Mineral markets critical for the clean energy transition and selected agricultural commodity markets appear among the most vulnerable in the hypothetical segmentation of the world into two geopolitical blocs examined in the paper. Trade disruptions result in heterogeneous impacts on economic surplus across countries. However, due to offsetting effects across commodity producing and consuming countries, surplus losses appear modest at the global level.
Geoeconomic Fragmentation and Commodity Markets by Mr. Jorge A Alvarez is 78 pages long, and a total of 20,124 words.
This makes it 26% the length of the average book. It also has 25% more words than the average book.
The average oral reading speed is 183 words per minute. This means it takes 1 hour and 49 minutes to read Geoeconomic Fragmentation and Commodity Markets aloud.
Geoeconomic Fragmentation and Commodity Markets is suitable for students ages 10 and up.
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