It takes the average reader and 42 minutes to read Predicting Fiscal Crises by Ms.Svetlana Cerovic
Assuming a reading speed of 250 words per minute. Learn more
This paper identifies leading indicators of fiscal crises based on a large sample of countries at different stages of development over 1970-2015. Our results are robust to different methodologies and sample periods. Previous literature on early warning sistems (EWS) for fiscal crises is scarce and based on small samples of advanced and emerging markets, raising doubts about the robustness of the results. Using a larger sample, our analysis shows that both nonfiscal (external and internal imbalances) and fiscal variables help predict crises among advanced and emerging economies. Our models performed well in out-of-sample forecasting and in predicting the most recent crises, a weakness of EWS in general. We also build EWS for low income countries, which had been overlooked in the literature.
Predicting Fiscal Crises by Ms.Svetlana Cerovic is 42 pages long, and a total of 10,584 words.
This makes it 14% the length of the average book. It also has 13% more words than the average book.
The average oral reading speed is 183 words per minute. This means it takes and 57 minutes to read Predicting Fiscal Crises aloud.
Predicting Fiscal Crises is suitable for students ages 8 and up.
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