How Long to Read Shaping the Next One Hundred Years

How Long Does it Take to Read Shaping the Next One Hundred Years?

It takes the average reader 3 hours and 31 minutes to read Shaping the Next One Hundred Years by Robert J. Lempert

Assuming a reading speed of 250 words per minute. Learn more

Description

A sophisticated reader ought to view with great skepticism the prospect of answering questions about the long-term future. The checkered history of predicting the future-from the famous declarations that humans would never fly to the Limits to Growth study to claims about the "New Economy"-has dissuaded policymakers from considering the effects of their decisions more than a few months or years ahead. However, today's choices will significantly influence the course of the twenty-first century. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, may transform our ability to reason systematically about the long term. This report reviews traditional methods of grappling with the morrow, from narratives to scenario analysis, which fail to address the multiplicity of plausible long-term futures. The authors demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust decision methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of plausible futures and design near-term, often adaptive, strategies to be robust across them. Reframing the question "What will the long-term future bring?" as "How can we choose actions today that will be consistent with our long-term interests?" these methods provide powerful analytic support to humans' innate capacity for "what-if-ing." Choosing the challenge of sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods may be applied to real-world LTPA and a wide range of other challenges of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty.

How long is Shaping the Next One Hundred Years?

Shaping the Next One Hundred Years by Robert J. Lempert is 211 pages long, and a total of 52,961 words.

This makes it 71% the length of the average book. It also has 65% more words than the average book.

How Long Does it Take to Read Shaping the Next One Hundred Years Aloud?

The average oral reading speed is 183 words per minute. This means it takes 4 hours and 49 minutes to read Shaping the Next One Hundred Years aloud.

What Reading Level is Shaping the Next One Hundred Years?

Shaping the Next One Hundred Years is suitable for students ages 12 and up.

Note that there may be other factors that effect this rating besides length that are not factored in on this page. This may include things like complex language or sensitive topics not suitable for students of certain ages.

When deciding what to show young students always use your best judgement and consult a professional.

Where Can I Buy Shaping the Next One Hundred Years?

Shaping the Next One Hundred Years by Robert J. Lempert is sold by several retailers and bookshops. However, Read Time works with Amazon to provide an easier way to purchase books.

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