How Long to Read The Art of Conjecture

How Long Does it Take to Read The Art of Conjecture?

It takes the average reader 3 hours and 55 minutes to read The Art of Conjecture by Bertrand de Jouvenel

Assuming a reading speed of 250 words per minute. Learn more

Description

Commissions of experts regularly meet to reply to questions such as: What will be the population of the country, or even of our planet, in ten, fifteen or twenty-five years? In what proportion will production have increased, what modifications will its composition and utilizations have undergone? The attraction of efforts to forecast the future continues. That is a fact. How does it proceed? That is a problem, one on which de Jouvenel focuses on in this book. The Art of Conjecture clearly explains what the "study of the future" can mean. De Jouvenel emphasizes the logical and political problems of forecasting and discusses methods in economics, sociology, and political science by which the future can be studied. More importantly, he discusses the fallacies to which the "study of the future" is peculiarly likely to give rise. The author argues that it is natural and necessary for the population to have visions of the future. Without this, he states, we would only be able to set one opinion of the future against another. If the origins and meanings of these predictions remained obscure, only the event could decide among the opinions. If any man can be said to have created the serious "study of the future" in our time, it is Bertrand de Jouvenel. Futuribles, a periodical he created, continues to represent a major turning point in contemporary social science. Jouvenel aimed to show how "the art of conjecture" could inform prudential judgment and allow citizens and statesmen to detect troubles before they arise.

How long is The Art of Conjecture?

The Art of Conjecture by Bertrand de Jouvenel is 233 pages long, and a total of 58,949 words.

This makes it 79% the length of the average book. It also has 72% more words than the average book.

How Long Does it Take to Read The Art of Conjecture Aloud?

The average oral reading speed is 183 words per minute. This means it takes 5 hours and 22 minutes to read The Art of Conjecture aloud.

What Reading Level is The Art of Conjecture?

The Art of Conjecture is suitable for students ages 12 and up.

Note that there may be other factors that effect this rating besides length that are not factored in on this page. This may include things like complex language or sensitive topics not suitable for students of certain ages.

When deciding what to show young students always use your best judgement and consult a professional.

Where Can I Buy The Art of Conjecture?

The Art of Conjecture by Bertrand de Jouvenel is sold by several retailers and bookshops. However, Read Time works with Amazon to provide an easier way to purchase books.

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