It takes the average reader 1 hour and 2 minutes to read Trade Diversion Effects from Global Tensions—Higher Than We Think by Mengqi Wang
Assuming a reading speed of 250 words per minute. Learn more
The paper builds a unique industry-level dataset by combining Mexico’s nationally sourced inputoutput data (INEGI) with cross-country sources (WIOD, UN Comtrade). Using this dataset to exploit higher supply linkages across a larger number of industries than what is available in cross-country sources, the paper estimates the trade diversion effect on Mexico’s exports to the U.S. from two episodes, with a focus on the first: the U.S.-China trade tension in 2018 and the U.S. sanctions on Russia in 2014. Difference-in-differences, local projections and few other empirical methodologies are used. For the first episode, the paper finds higher trade diversion effects than estimates in literature. Output tariff plays an important role, and there is some evidence of a positive impact through downstream tariffs. The effects are stronger when nationally sourced input-output data is used compared to those derived from cross-country sources. Importantly, the magnitude of trade diversion across industries does not depend on Mexico’s industry-level trade exposure to the U.S., but rather on the U.S. tariff changes on Chinese goods, the decrease in imports from China, product substitutability with Chinese products, and (weakly) on Mexico’s GVC integration. Similarly, for the second episode, the paper finds positive trade diversion effects. Overall, the findings suggest that trade diversion effect might be higher than previously thought and the proper accounting of dataset and supply linkages makes a difference.
Trade Diversion Effects from Global Tensions—Higher Than We Think by Mengqi Wang is 62 pages long, and a total of 15,624 words.
This makes it 21% the length of the average book. It also has 19% more words than the average book.
The average oral reading speed is 183 words per minute. This means it takes 1 hour and 25 minutes to read Trade Diversion Effects from Global Tensions—Higher Than We Think aloud.
Trade Diversion Effects from Global Tensions—Higher Than We Think is suitable for students ages 8 and up.
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