It takes the average reader and 34 minutes to read Uncertainty and Public Investment Multipliers: The Role of Economic Confidence by William Gbohoui
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This paper investigates how macroeconomic uncertainty affects the fiscal multiplier of public investment. In theory, uncertainty can reduce the multiplier if the private sector becomes more cautious and does not respond to the fiscal stimulus. Conversely, it can increase the fiscal multiplier if public investment shocks improve private agents’ expectations about future economic outlook, and lead to larger private spending. Using the disagreement about GDP forecasts as a proxy for uncertainty, we find that unexpected increases in public investment have larger and longer-lasting effects on output, investment, and employment during periods of high uncertainty, with multipliers above 2, and the larger multipliers are not driven by economic slack. Public investment shocks are also found to boost private sector confidence during heightened uncertainty, driving-up expectations about future economic development which in turn magnify private sector response to the initial stimulus.
Uncertainty and Public Investment Multipliers: The Role of Economic Confidence by William Gbohoui is 34 pages long, and a total of 8,636 words.
This makes it 11% the length of the average book. It also has 11% more words than the average book.
The average oral reading speed is 183 words per minute. This means it takes and 47 minutes to read Uncertainty and Public Investment Multipliers: The Role of Economic Confidence aloud.
Uncertainty and Public Investment Multipliers: The Role of Economic Confidence is suitable for students ages 8 and up.
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