It takes the average reader 4 hours and 20 minutes to read Verbal Decision Analysis for Unstructured Problems by Oleg I. Larichev
Assuming a reading speed of 250 words per minute. Learn more
A central problem of prescriptive decision making is the mismatch between the elegant formal models of decision theory and the less elegant, informal thinking of decision makers, especially when dealing with ill-structured situations. This problem has been a central concern of the authors and their colleagues over the past two decades. They have wisely (to my mind) realized that any viable solution must be informed by a deep understanding of both the structural properties of alternative formalisms and the cognitive demands that they impose on decision makers. Considering the two in parallel reduces the risk of forcing decision makers to say things and endorse models that they do not really understand. It opens the door for creative solutions, incorporating insights from both decision theory and cognitive psychology. It is this opportunity that the authors have so ably exploited in this important book. Under the pressures of an interview situation, people will often answer a question that is put to them. Thus, they may be willing to provide a decision consultant with probability and utility assessments for all manner of things. However, if they do not fully understand the implications of what they are saying and the use to which it will be put, then they cannot maintain cognitive mastery of the decision models intended to represent their beliefs and interests.
Verbal Decision Analysis for Unstructured Problems by Oleg I. Larichev is 260 pages long, and a total of 65,000 words.
This makes it 88% the length of the average book. It also has 79% more words than the average book.
The average oral reading speed is 183 words per minute. This means it takes 5 hours and 55 minutes to read Verbal Decision Analysis for Unstructured Problems aloud.
Verbal Decision Analysis for Unstructured Problems is suitable for students ages 12 and up.
Note that there may be other factors that effect this rating besides length that are not factored in on this page. This may include things like complex language or sensitive topics not suitable for students of certain ages.
When deciding what to show young students always use your best judgement and consult a professional.
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